Monday, January 5, 2009

2009 Y.A.E. candidates

I've been watching Tom Verducci's "year after effect" candidates for some time, anxiously looking ahead to see who's a candidate for a drop-off and to then examine which of the candidates suffered. Except usually I wait for Verducci to, you know, actually publish his list/analysis. This year, Beyond The Box Score did it for him, though I don't think it's an exhaustive list:

  • Jon Lester (162 IP last year, 237 this year – 76 inning increase)
  • Cole Hamels (190 IP last year, 262 this year – 72 inning increase)
  • Chad Billingsley (147 IP last year, 212 this year – 65 inning increase)
  • John Danks (139 IP last year, 195 this year -56 inning increase)
  • Mike Pelfrey (146 IP last year, 200 this year – 54 inning increase)
  • Tim Lincecum (177 IP last year, 226 this year – 49 inning increase)
  • Jair Jurrjens (142 IP last year, 188 this year – 46 inning increase)
I'll wait for Verducci's work but this is a good preview!

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